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Drive Belt for 48 in. cut John Deere mowers, Replaces OEM… / Markdown forecast

Will the Drive Belt for 48 in. cut John Deere mowers, Replaces OEM Numbers GX21833, 07217401 go on clearance at Home Depot?

Updated Nov 1, 9:48 PM EST · 125 stores checked

Drive Belt for 48 in. cut John Deere mowers, Replaces OEM Numbers GX21833, 07217401

The Drive Belt for 48 in. cut John Deere mowers, Replaces OEM Numbers GX21833, 07217401 is already on Home Depot clearance for as low as $8.99 (78% off $39.98), and 57% of the 125 stores we checked have it at 75% off or more.

Lowest price

$8.99

Was

$39.98

Stores at 75%+ off

57%

eBay sold

$25.49

Forecast

Mid-markdown

It’s mid-markdown: some stores have reached 75% off and the rest are still higher. Home Depot reprices in waves across stores, so the higher-priced stores often follow within a couple of weeks, but not always.

How accurate is this? Our model flags this item as a “possible” further drop, based on how many stores have already reached 75% off. It isn’t reliable yet: of the 8,701 “likely” calls we’ve checked since Aug 21, 2026, 7% saw a further price drop within about two weeks. Treat this as a read on where the item is in Home Depot’s markdown cycle, not a promise.

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Spotted checks Home Depot clearance store by store and shows the price at your stores and what it resells for.

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Where it is in the markdown cycle

10–25% off · first markdown, usually sits 2–3 weeks

none

40–50% off · second markdown, the biggest jump, sits 3–7 days

2 stores

60–65% off · third markdown, sits 3–4 days

47 stores

~75% off · fourth markdown, sits about 3 days

76 stores

85%+ off · final markdown, sells out or gets pulled

none

Home Depot clearance usually steps down from about 10–25% off (2–3 weeks) to 40–50% off (3–7 days), 60–65% off (3–4 days), 75% off (about 3 days) and finally 85%+ off. When an item does go from 50% to 75% off, it takes a median of 11 days, but only about 1 in 5 items make that jump. Repricing happens mostly Thursday to Saturday, and stores in California, Florida and Georgia tend to get each markdown a week or more before the Midwest and mountain states.

Where it’s cheapest right now

What it resells for

Recent sold eBay listings put the Drive Belt for 48 in. cut John Deere mowers, Replaces OEM Numbers GX21833, 07217401 at about $25.49, against a Home Depot clearance price as low as $8.99.

How we make this forecast

Spotted checks Home Depot clearance prices and stock store by store. This page uses the newest nationwide check (Nov 1, 9:48 PM EST): the price at each store, how far it’s marked down from the original price, and how many stores have already reached 75% off. The model last ran Nov 1, 1:00 AM EST. The timing above comes from 60 days of store-level price history across more than 200,000 price changes. See current stock for the Drive Belt for 48 in. cut John Deere mowers, Replaces OEM….